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    Federal Reserve

    Yesterday

    US mortgage rates drop sharply to lowest level in a year

    The Fed is expected to start lowering interest rates in September after holding them at 5.3 per cent for the past year.

    • Danielle Kaye
    The Bank of England announces its voting splits on the day of the decision.

    Central banks need true transparency not fake consensus

    The Bank of England isn’t afraid to advertise its differences. That is better for creating trust than the obsession with a united front at the US Fed.

    • Mohamed El-Erian

    This Month

    Guests at the Magic Kingdom at Walt Disney World brave wind and rain in Bay Lake, Florida.

    New signs of weakness in US economy, as consumers halt spending

    Disney theme parks, Airbnb home rentals and Hilton hotels are among the latest companies seeing weaker consumer demand.

    • Gregory Meyer, Anna Nicolaou and Christopher Grimes
    The bond market is sticking with its rate cut forecasts for 2024, despite what governor Michele Bullock says.

    Why the market doesn’t believe the RBA on rates

    Despite the surprisingly strong hawkish rhetoric from the Reserve Bank this week, bond traders (and some economists) aren’t buying it.

    • Updated
    • Cecile Lefort and Sarah Jones
    Panic spread across Wall Street before the opening bell on Monday night.

    Hedge funds were busy buying the dip amid turmoil

    As trillions of dollars were being erased from global equity markets on Monday as investors fled, some fast money was stepping back in.

    • Natalia Kniazhevich
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    Chalmers disputes RBA; Rex sale looms; Why Harris chose Walz

    Read everything that’s happened in the news so far today.

    Fed chairman Jerome Powell won’t be swayed by markets or the US election.

    The Fed will not let markets dictate a rate cut

    The US central bank reacts to the sharemarket only when volatility threatens financial stability. For the moment, there is no evidence that this is the case.

    • Barry Eichengreen
    One concern is whether US consumers can continue driving growth if unemployment is rising and savings built up during the pandemic are dwindling.

    Is the US heading for a recession?

    Most analysts believe the world’s largest economy will make a soft landing, with inflation falling back to the Fed’s 2 per cent goal without a sharp rise in unemployment.

    • Claire Jones, Delphine Strauss and Martha Muir
    RBA governor Michele Bullock in Sydney on Tuesday.

    RBA warns rate cuts are a no-go this year

    Why interest rates won’t come down this year after all. They might even go up.

    • Jennifer Hewett
    Tanking. Monitors display the Nikkei 225 Stock Average figure outside a securities firm in Tokyo on Monday.

    Why global investors find it so easy to sell Japan

    It is easier to sell Japan into a rout than any other Asian market, and unusually attractive to take profits from it right now because the gains this year have been so good.

    • Leo Lewis
    A stockmarket meltdown could reset the political debate between presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.

    Trump seizes on market meltdown, blames Harris

    The former president sought to raise voter concerns about the health of the US economy, saying “we are heading to World War III”.

    • Updated
    • Matthew Cranston
    The Topix Index displayed inside the Kabuto One building in Tokyo, Japan, on Monday.

    Battered investors get a breather, but where to next?

    After a torrid night on Wall Street, it’s calmer on the ASX and positively giddy in Tokyo, giving investors a chance to consider their next move. 

    • James Thomson
    Panic spread across Wall Street before the opening bell.

    Wall Street’s night of fear could have been much worse

    The sea of red on Wall Street on Monday night doesn’t tell the story of the outright panic that spread before the market opened.

    • James Thomson
    Nasdaq

    Market panic risks dragging down global growth, economists warn

    Analysts say economies in the US and elsewhere are not “nosediving”, but they flag the threat of “self-fulfilling” investor jitters.

    • Delphine Strauss
    Chicago Fed boss Austan Goolsbee.

    Goolsbee warns on Fed, downplays recession fears

    Chicago Fed president Austan Goolsbee says the Fed can’t be over-restrictive when it comes to rates, amid fears the central bank has been too slow to cut rates.

    • Reuters
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    Wall Street has fallen as global stocks sell off.

    Wall Street opens in turmoil, extending global sell-off

    The Dow sank 1000 points and markets plunged at the open on Wall Street with fears over the US economy adding to a global share rout.

    • Stan Choe
    Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock.

    Markets mayhem jangles investor nerves

    Why are markets are suddenly tumbling as sentiment turns down – and is this the start of something bigger?

    • Jennifer Hewett
    Investors are on a knife-edge as markets around the world tumble.

    Why the market’s favourite trades are blowing up

    For most of the day it was just a nasty sell-off. But by the end of Monday’s brutal session on the ASX, it was clear something much worse was at play.

    • James Thomson
    The sharemarket is on track for the worst two-day sell-off since the outbreak of COVID-19.

    ASX dives with no sector spared as recession fears trigger panic

    The ASX 200 was steamrolled in the sharpest two-day sell-off since COVID-19 first roiled markets.

    • Sarah Jones, Joanne Tran and Jessica Sier
    Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock will front media after the central bank’s latest decision this week.

    RBA to hold rates steady as inflation gets closer to target

    The central bank is expected to oversee a “straightforward” meeting this week, after last week’s inflation result took the heat out of tightening fears.

    • Joshua Peach